Tag Archives: move

Don’t move a mussel – a tiny invader is threatening our water and wildlife Updated for 2026





On September 29, 2014, Samantha Ho was wading through the Wraysbury River, a shallow stream that runs just a few miles south of the busy tarmac at London’s Heathrow Airport. She was collecting a ‘kick’ sample, a routine at a designated point that is visited once or twice a year, for the Environment Agency.

But this time was different: among the mud and grass Ho found a small mussel, no bigger than a thumbnail, which looked vaguely familiar.

“I separated it out and carried on”, she says. “The fact that it was an unusual environment – fast-flowing, not a canal – and that I had sampled there before and not found it, were all things that roused my suspicion.” She brought it back to the lab and a quick check online confirmed it: she had found a quagga mussel.

Although it was a long way from home, the mussel’s arrival had been anticipated by ecologists for a while. It’s one of a number of non-native species that are increasingly making their way to Britain and posing a considerable threat to native plants and animals.

The larvae of the quagga are microscopic and a single mussel can produce millions of eggs, up to 200,000 in a single season (which lasts from April to November). Their size is one of the reasons they’re so problematic, according to Belinda Gallardo, an aquatic ecologist who studied the ecological impact of invasive species as a researcher at the University of Cambridge.

“It’s really, really difficult to contain, unless it is located in a very isolated water body that you can basically drain to eradicate everything in it”, she says. “There are techniques in place and we are testing different options, but as far as I know it can not be controlled in open water.”

A major ‘biofouling’ hazard: pipes, valves, hulls, propellers …

Originating in the Ponto-Caspian region around the Black Sea, the quagga mussel is joining its larger cousin, the zebra mussel, which has been established in Britain for roughly 200 years and is thought to cost the UK at least £5 million a year.

At a recent workshop on the quagga mussel at the Zoological Society of London, Jason Eccles, Thames Water’s Regional Production Manager for West London, briefed an assembly of scientists, activists and representatives of organisations that are interested in the quagga.

He demonstrated the impact of the mussel through images like that of a large boat propeller, completely covered by several layers of quagga mussels, which had been pulled out of Lake Mead in Nevada (see photo, above).

Whether in the US or the UK, both the zebra and quagga are troublemakers. The mussels’ ‘beard’, a small thread of hairs that looks like brown seaweed, allows them to attach to surfaces and to each other, meaning that large numbers of them block pipes and valves wherever they occur. This so-called biofouling comes with considerable costs to the water and power industry.

Eccles says that Thames Water, the UK’s largest water provider, already spends millions of pounds clearing underground tunnels. With the arrival of the quagga, he says, this will have to be done even more frequently in the future.

Tackling the problems caused by invasive species quickly becomes even more costly when viewed as a whole. The Environment Agency estimates the costs associated with non-native species (there are over 3,000 in the UK) to figure around £1.7 billion per year.

The roughly 12,000 species that have invaded new habitats around Europe, with their combined impact on native biodiversity, agriculture, health and the economy, create costs upwards of €12 billion (£9.4 billion) a year.

Native ecosystems at risk

On top of that, invasive species are the second biggest threat to biodiversity after habitat loss. The zebra and quagga mussels are no exception – the latter smothers and chokes other mussels to death.

And because it filters nutrients out of the water (a single quagga can go through up to two litres every day), it changes the nature of entire ecosystems, which in turn can facilitate life for predators or even kill off entire populations.

“It’s the species we thought was most threatening”, says Gallardo. “These Ponto-Caspian species, as a group, are probably the most threatening of aquatic invasive species. Ten years ago, there were only two or three of these species in Britain, and right now there are ten or 15 already. And there are another 100 species currently travelling along Europe, and they will end up here as well, sooner or later.”

Gallardo points out that one of the Ponto-Caspian species’ most dangerous characteristics is their ability to thrive in new habitats. Because they are generalist feeders, they can modify their environment to fit their needs: “They come from a region where they experience very high changes in climate and environmental conditions, and that makes them very able to adapt.”

It gets worse. Because they are used to living together, the zebra and quagga mussel even facilitate each other: the zebra lays down an ideal substrate for the quagga in riverbeds and on the bottom of reservoirs.

“They already have close interactions and that’s why they are so worrying. They easily establish together and build up communities that resemble more of their native range than the actual English range”, Gallardo says.

And this applies to the rest of the Ponto-Caspian invaders too. The killer shrimp, which was first recorded in Britain in 2010, feeds off the waste of the zebra and even imitates the mussel’s striped pattern.

This is why Gallardo and her fellow researchers speak of an “invasional meltdown” when it comes to the increasing rate of invasions. Their theory is that, as more and more species arrive and support each other, the problem will become exponentially worse.

Eradication? No chance. Maybe an ice age …

At the workshop in London, the most eagerly awaited speaker was David Aldridge, a lecturer in aquatic ecology at Cambridge and the foremost expert on quagga mussels in the UK. His bottom line is sobering. “We’re really just waiting for these pests to arrive. And you can’t do much once they’re here”, he says.

And with no chance of eradicating species once they reach the UK, it all comes down to prevention: “From a broader, national policy, we’re interested in really trying to identify what the future invaders are and perhaps use things like quagga mussels as a model for patterns and pathways for invasion so that we can try and do our best to stop things coming here.”

The Victorians first started importing ornamental plants in the 19th century – it is them we have to thank for pests like Himalayan balsam or giant hogweed, plants that usually dominate media coverage when it comes to invasive species.

The number of intentionally introduced animals and plants is declining nowadays, but with the building of new canals and waterways, aquatic species have increasingly been making their way across Europe on their own.

The aquatic invaders spread through a number of different ways: ballast water in ships, the movement of soil or water and the contamination of fishing gear, sports equipment or boats. A single pool of water in a fishing boat returning from Europe can introduce a new species.

“We already knew this species was coming and I know there’s been a lot of work to develop an early-warning system”, says Gallardo.

Despite new laws, the quagga will be soon be everywhere

She also thinks the UK is more advanced in dealing with the problem than the rest of Europe, thanks in large part to the Great Britain Non-Native Species Secretariat. The secretariat, which was formed in 2006, is an attempt to bring some coordination to a naturally messy problem.

Its current campaign is accordingly basic. ‘Check, Clean, Dry’ aims to get the word out to angling societies, boat clubs and the like, so that their members keep their equipment in check and thereby avoid spreading the mussels between different ecosystems.

What is missing so far is comprehensive legislation. “We’ve got nests in various different pieces of legislation but we don’t have one itself”, says Karen Harper, who manages the London Invasive Species Initiative and organized the event at the Zoological Society.

Last January 1st new EU legislation has come into effect, the first specifically geared towards alien species. Member states are now required to notify others if certain species are detected, which could result in bans of trade, for example.

Helen Roy, an ecological entomologist at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology in Oxfordshire, chairs a European-wide information exchange program on invasive species and thinks the legislation will consolidate existing links between countries.

“It’s very exciting to think that we will have a regulation that will apply across all member states”, she says. “I think we already have some great collaborations with our near neighbors. And that’s extremely important when thinking about prevention of the arrival of alien species.”

Harper is hopeful too. “I think it’s a step in the right direction – to everyone realizing that it is a real problem and needs to be managed.”

The Wraysbury River flows into the Thames only a few miles downriver from where Ho found the quagga in late September. Aldridge says it is only a matter of time before its spread becomes uncontrollable.

In fact, barely a month after the workshop took place, quagga mussels had already been found in the Thames and six nearby reservoirs. “I expect that in the next four years or so it will be widespread across the UK”, Aldridge says. “I mean it won’t be everywhere it can get, but I think it will be in lots of the major waterways.”

 


 

Yannic Rack is a journalist at City University London who has written for local newspapers in the UK and the US, and the editor of a hyperlocal news website in London.

 




390396

Don’t move a mussel – a tiny invader is threatening our water and wildlife Updated for 2026





On September 29, 2014, Samantha Ho was wading through the Wraysbury River, a shallow stream that runs just a few miles south of the busy tarmac at London’s Heathrow Airport. She was collecting a ‘kick’ sample, a routine at a designated point that is visited once or twice a year, for the Environment Agency.

But this time was different: among the mud and grass Ho found a small mussel, no bigger than a thumbnail, which looked vaguely familiar.

“I separated it out and carried on”, she says. “The fact that it was an unusual environment – fast-flowing, not a canal – and that I had sampled there before and not found it, were all things that roused my suspicion.” She brought it back to the lab and a quick check online confirmed it: she had found a quagga mussel.

Although it was a long way from home, the mussel’s arrival had been anticipated by ecologists for a while. It’s one of a number of non-native species that are increasingly making their way to Britain and posing a considerable threat to native plants and animals.

The larvae of the quagga are microscopic and a single mussel can produce millions of eggs, up to 200,000 in a single season (which lasts from April to November). Their size is one of the reasons they’re so problematic, according to Belinda Gallardo, an aquatic ecologist who studied the ecological impact of invasive species as a researcher at the University of Cambridge.

“It’s really, really difficult to contain, unless it is located in a very isolated water body that you can basically drain to eradicate everything in it”, she says. “There are techniques in place and we are testing different options, but as far as I know it can not be controlled in open water.”

A major ‘biofouling’ hazard: pipes, valves, hulls, propellers …

Originating in the Ponto-Caspian region around the Black Sea, the quagga mussel is joining its larger cousin, the zebra mussel, which has been established in Britain for roughly 200 years and is thought to cost the UK at least £5 million a year.

At a recent workshop on the quagga mussel at the Zoological Society of London, Jason Eccles, Thames Water’s Regional Production Manager for West London, briefed an assembly of scientists, activists and representatives of organisations that are interested in the quagga.

He demonstrated the impact of the mussel through images like that of a large boat propeller, completely covered by several layers of quagga mussels, which had been pulled out of Lake Mead in Nevada (see photo, above).

Whether in the US or the UK, both the zebra and quagga are troublemakers. The mussels’ ‘beard’, a small thread of hairs that looks like brown seaweed, allows them to attach to surfaces and to each other, meaning that large numbers of them block pipes and valves wherever they occur. This so-called biofouling comes with considerable costs to the water and power industry.

Eccles says that Thames Water, the UK’s largest water provider, already spends millions of pounds clearing underground tunnels. With the arrival of the quagga, he says, this will have to be done even more frequently in the future.

Tackling the problems caused by invasive species quickly becomes even more costly when viewed as a whole. The Environment Agency estimates the costs associated with non-native species (there are over 3,000 in the UK) to figure around £1.7 billion per year.

The roughly 12,000 species that have invaded new habitats around Europe, with their combined impact on native biodiversity, agriculture, health and the economy, create costs upwards of €12 billion (£9.4 billion) a year.

Native ecosystems at risk

On top of that, invasive species are the second biggest threat to biodiversity after habitat loss. The zebra and quagga mussels are no exception – the latter smothers and chokes other mussels to death.

And because it filters nutrients out of the water (a single quagga can go through up to two litres every day), it changes the nature of entire ecosystems, which in turn can facilitate life for predators or even kill off entire populations.

“It’s the species we thought was most threatening”, says Gallardo. “These Ponto-Caspian species, as a group, are probably the most threatening of aquatic invasive species. Ten years ago, there were only two or three of these species in Britain, and right now there are ten or 15 already. And there are another 100 species currently travelling along Europe, and they will end up here as well, sooner or later.”

Gallardo points out that one of the Ponto-Caspian species’ most dangerous characteristics is their ability to thrive in new habitats. Because they are generalist feeders, they can modify their environment to fit their needs: “They come from a region where they experience very high changes in climate and environmental conditions, and that makes them very able to adapt.”

It gets worse. Because they are used to living together, the zebra and quagga mussel even facilitate each other: the zebra lays down an ideal substrate for the quagga in riverbeds and on the bottom of reservoirs.

“They already have close interactions and that’s why they are so worrying. They easily establish together and build up communities that resemble more of their native range than the actual English range”, Gallardo says.

And this applies to the rest of the Ponto-Caspian invaders too. The killer shrimp, which was first recorded in Britain in 2010, feeds off the waste of the zebra and even imitates the mussel’s striped pattern.

This is why Gallardo and her fellow researchers speak of an “invasional meltdown” when it comes to the increasing rate of invasions. Their theory is that, as more and more species arrive and support each other, the problem will become exponentially worse.

Eradication? No chance. Maybe an ice age …

At the workshop in London, the most eagerly awaited speaker was David Aldridge, a lecturer in aquatic ecology at Cambridge and the foremost expert on quagga mussels in the UK. His bottom line is sobering. “We’re really just waiting for these pests to arrive. And you can’t do much once they’re here”, he says.

And with no chance of eradicating species once they reach the UK, it all comes down to prevention: “From a broader, national policy, we’re interested in really trying to identify what the future invaders are and perhaps use things like quagga mussels as a model for patterns and pathways for invasion so that we can try and do our best to stop things coming here.”

The Victorians first started importing ornamental plants in the 19th century – it is them we have to thank for pests like Himalayan balsam or giant hogweed, plants that usually dominate media coverage when it comes to invasive species.

The number of intentionally introduced animals and plants is declining nowadays, but with the building of new canals and waterways, aquatic species have increasingly been making their way across Europe on their own.

The aquatic invaders spread through a number of different ways: ballast water in ships, the movement of soil or water and the contamination of fishing gear, sports equipment or boats. A single pool of water in a fishing boat returning from Europe can introduce a new species.

“We already knew this species was coming and I know there’s been a lot of work to develop an early-warning system”, says Gallardo.

Despite new laws, the quagga will be soon be everywhere

She also thinks the UK is more advanced in dealing with the problem than the rest of Europe, thanks in large part to the Great Britain Non-Native Species Secretariat. The secretariat, which was formed in 2006, is an attempt to bring some coordination to a naturally messy problem.

Its current campaign is accordingly basic. ‘Check, Clean, Dry’ aims to get the word out to angling societies, boat clubs and the like, so that their members keep their equipment in check and thereby avoid spreading the mussels between different ecosystems.

What is missing so far is comprehensive legislation. “We’ve got nests in various different pieces of legislation but we don’t have one itself”, says Karen Harper, who manages the London Invasive Species Initiative and organized the event at the Zoological Society.

Last January 1st new EU legislation has come into effect, the first specifically geared towards alien species. Member states are now required to notify others if certain species are detected, which could result in bans of trade, for example.

Helen Roy, an ecological entomologist at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology in Oxfordshire, chairs a European-wide information exchange program on invasive species and thinks the legislation will consolidate existing links between countries.

“It’s very exciting to think that we will have a regulation that will apply across all member states”, she says. “I think we already have some great collaborations with our near neighbors. And that’s extremely important when thinking about prevention of the arrival of alien species.”

Harper is hopeful too. “I think it’s a step in the right direction – to everyone realizing that it is a real problem and needs to be managed.”

The Wraysbury River flows into the Thames only a few miles downriver from where Ho found the quagga in late September. Aldridge says it is only a matter of time before its spread becomes uncontrollable.

In fact, barely a month after the workshop took place, quagga mussels had already been found in the Thames and six nearby reservoirs. “I expect that in the next four years or so it will be widespread across the UK”, Aldridge says. “I mean it won’t be everywhere it can get, but I think it will be in lots of the major waterways.”

 


 

Yannic Rack is a journalist at City University London who has written for local newspapers in the UK and the US, and the editor of a hyperlocal news website in London.

 




390396

Don’t move a mussel – a tiny invader is threatening our water and wildlife Updated for 2026





On September 29, 2014, Samantha Ho was wading through the Wraysbury River, a shallow stream that runs just a few miles south of the busy tarmac at London’s Heathrow Airport. She was collecting a ‘kick’ sample, a routine at a designated point that is visited once or twice a year, for the Environment Agency.

But this time was different: among the mud and grass Ho found a small mussel, no bigger than a thumbnail, which looked vaguely familiar.

“I separated it out and carried on”, she says. “The fact that it was an unusual environment – fast-flowing, not a canal – and that I had sampled there before and not found it, were all things that roused my suspicion.” She brought it back to the lab and a quick check online confirmed it: she had found a quagga mussel.

Although it was a long way from home, the mussel’s arrival had been anticipated by ecologists for a while. It’s one of a number of non-native species that are increasingly making their way to Britain and posing a considerable threat to native plants and animals.

The larvae of the quagga are microscopic and a single mussel can produce millions of eggs, up to 200,000 in a single season (which lasts from April to November). Their size is one of the reasons they’re so problematic, according to Belinda Gallardo, an aquatic ecologist who studied the ecological impact of invasive species as a researcher at the University of Cambridge.

“It’s really, really difficult to contain, unless it is located in a very isolated water body that you can basically drain to eradicate everything in it”, she says. “There are techniques in place and we are testing different options, but as far as I know it can not be controlled in open water.”

A major ‘biofouling’ hazard: pipes, valves, hulls, propellers …

Originating in the Ponto-Caspian region around the Black Sea, the quagga mussel is joining its larger cousin, the zebra mussel, which has been established in Britain for roughly 200 years and is thought to cost the UK at least £5 million a year.

At a recent workshop on the quagga mussel at the Zoological Society of London, Jason Eccles, Thames Water’s Regional Production Manager for West London, briefed an assembly of scientists, activists and representatives of organisations that are interested in the quagga.

He demonstrated the impact of the mussel through images like that of a large boat propeller, completely covered by several layers of quagga mussels, which had been pulled out of Lake Mead in Nevada (see photo, above).

Whether in the US or the UK, both the zebra and quagga are troublemakers. The mussels’ ‘beard’, a small thread of hairs that looks like brown seaweed, allows them to attach to surfaces and to each other, meaning that large numbers of them block pipes and valves wherever they occur. This so-called biofouling comes with considerable costs to the water and power industry.

Eccles says that Thames Water, the UK’s largest water provider, already spends millions of pounds clearing underground tunnels. With the arrival of the quagga, he says, this will have to be done even more frequently in the future.

Tackling the problems caused by invasive species quickly becomes even more costly when viewed as a whole. The Environment Agency estimates the costs associated with non-native species (there are over 3,000 in the UK) to figure around £1.7 billion per year.

The roughly 12,000 species that have invaded new habitats around Europe, with their combined impact on native biodiversity, agriculture, health and the economy, create costs upwards of €12 billion (£9.4 billion) a year.

Native ecosystems at risk

On top of that, invasive species are the second biggest threat to biodiversity after habitat loss. The zebra and quagga mussels are no exception – the latter smothers and chokes other mussels to death.

And because it filters nutrients out of the water (a single quagga can go through up to two litres every day), it changes the nature of entire ecosystems, which in turn can facilitate life for predators or even kill off entire populations.

“It’s the species we thought was most threatening”, says Gallardo. “These Ponto-Caspian species, as a group, are probably the most threatening of aquatic invasive species. Ten years ago, there were only two or three of these species in Britain, and right now there are ten or 15 already. And there are another 100 species currently travelling along Europe, and they will end up here as well, sooner or later.”

Gallardo points out that one of the Ponto-Caspian species’ most dangerous characteristics is their ability to thrive in new habitats. Because they are generalist feeders, they can modify their environment to fit their needs: “They come from a region where they experience very high changes in climate and environmental conditions, and that makes them very able to adapt.”

It gets worse. Because they are used to living together, the zebra and quagga mussel even facilitate each other: the zebra lays down an ideal substrate for the quagga in riverbeds and on the bottom of reservoirs.

“They already have close interactions and that’s why they are so worrying. They easily establish together and build up communities that resemble more of their native range than the actual English range”, Gallardo says.

And this applies to the rest of the Ponto-Caspian invaders too. The killer shrimp, which was first recorded in Britain in 2010, feeds off the waste of the zebra and even imitates the mussel’s striped pattern.

This is why Gallardo and her fellow researchers speak of an “invasional meltdown” when it comes to the increasing rate of invasions. Their theory is that, as more and more species arrive and support each other, the problem will become exponentially worse.

Eradication? No chance. Maybe an ice age …

At the workshop in London, the most eagerly awaited speaker was David Aldridge, a lecturer in aquatic ecology at Cambridge and the foremost expert on quagga mussels in the UK. His bottom line is sobering. “We’re really just waiting for these pests to arrive. And you can’t do much once they’re here”, he says.

And with no chance of eradicating species once they reach the UK, it all comes down to prevention: “From a broader, national policy, we’re interested in really trying to identify what the future invaders are and perhaps use things like quagga mussels as a model for patterns and pathways for invasion so that we can try and do our best to stop things coming here.”

The Victorians first started importing ornamental plants in the 19th century – it is them we have to thank for pests like Himalayan balsam or giant hogweed, plants that usually dominate media coverage when it comes to invasive species.

The number of intentionally introduced animals and plants is declining nowadays, but with the building of new canals and waterways, aquatic species have increasingly been making their way across Europe on their own.

The aquatic invaders spread through a number of different ways: ballast water in ships, the movement of soil or water and the contamination of fishing gear, sports equipment or boats. A single pool of water in a fishing boat returning from Europe can introduce a new species.

“We already knew this species was coming and I know there’s been a lot of work to develop an early-warning system”, says Gallardo.

Despite new laws, the quagga will be soon be everywhere

She also thinks the UK is more advanced in dealing with the problem than the rest of Europe, thanks in large part to the Great Britain Non-Native Species Secretariat. The secretariat, which was formed in 2006, is an attempt to bring some coordination to a naturally messy problem.

Its current campaign is accordingly basic. ‘Check, Clean, Dry’ aims to get the word out to angling societies, boat clubs and the like, so that their members keep their equipment in check and thereby avoid spreading the mussels between different ecosystems.

What is missing so far is comprehensive legislation. “We’ve got nests in various different pieces of legislation but we don’t have one itself”, says Karen Harper, who manages the London Invasive Species Initiative and organized the event at the Zoological Society.

Last January 1st new EU legislation has come into effect, the first specifically geared towards alien species. Member states are now required to notify others if certain species are detected, which could result in bans of trade, for example.

Helen Roy, an ecological entomologist at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology in Oxfordshire, chairs a European-wide information exchange program on invasive species and thinks the legislation will consolidate existing links between countries.

“It’s very exciting to think that we will have a regulation that will apply across all member states”, she says. “I think we already have some great collaborations with our near neighbors. And that’s extremely important when thinking about prevention of the arrival of alien species.”

Harper is hopeful too. “I think it’s a step in the right direction – to everyone realizing that it is a real problem and needs to be managed.”

The Wraysbury River flows into the Thames only a few miles downriver from where Ho found the quagga in late September. Aldridge says it is only a matter of time before its spread becomes uncontrollable.

In fact, barely a month after the workshop took place, quagga mussels had already been found in the Thames and six nearby reservoirs. “I expect that in the next four years or so it will be widespread across the UK”, Aldridge says. “I mean it won’t be everywhere it can get, but I think it will be in lots of the major waterways.”

 


 

Yannic Rack is a journalist at City University London who has written for local newspapers in the UK and the US, and the editor of a hyperlocal news website in London.

 




390396

Don’t move a mussel – a tiny invader is threatening our water and wildlife Updated for 2026





On September 29, 2014, Samantha Ho was wading through the Wraysbury River, a shallow stream that runs just a few miles south of the busy tarmac at London’s Heathrow Airport. She was collecting a ‘kick’ sample, a routine at a designated point that is visited once or twice a year, for the Environment Agency.

But this time was different: among the mud and grass Ho found a small mussel, no bigger than a thumbnail, which looked vaguely familiar.

“I separated it out and carried on”, she says. “The fact that it was an unusual environment – fast-flowing, not a canal – and that I had sampled there before and not found it, were all things that roused my suspicion.” She brought it back to the lab and a quick check online confirmed it: she had found a quagga mussel.

Although it was a long way from home, the mussel’s arrival had been anticipated by ecologists for a while. It’s one of a number of non-native species that are increasingly making their way to Britain and posing a considerable threat to native plants and animals.

The larvae of the quagga are microscopic and a single mussel can produce millions of eggs, up to 200,000 in a single season (which lasts from April to November). Their size is one of the reasons they’re so problematic, according to Belinda Gallardo, an aquatic ecologist who studied the ecological impact of invasive species as a researcher at the University of Cambridge.

“It’s really, really difficult to contain, unless it is located in a very isolated water body that you can basically drain to eradicate everything in it”, she says. “There are techniques in place and we are testing different options, but as far as I know it can not be controlled in open water.”

A major ‘biofouling’ hazard: pipes, valves, hulls, propellers …

Originating in the Ponto-Caspian region around the Black Sea, the quagga mussel is joining its larger cousin, the zebra mussel, which has been established in Britain for roughly 200 years and is thought to cost the UK at least £5 million a year.

At a recent workshop on the quagga mussel at the Zoological Society of London, Jason Eccles, Thames Water’s Regional Production Manager for West London, briefed an assembly of scientists, activists and representatives of organisations that are interested in the quagga.

He demonstrated the impact of the mussel through images like that of a large boat propeller, completely covered by several layers of quagga mussels, which had been pulled out of Lake Mead in Nevada (see photo, above).

Whether in the US or the UK, both the zebra and quagga are troublemakers. The mussels’ ‘beard’, a small thread of hairs that looks like brown seaweed, allows them to attach to surfaces and to each other, meaning that large numbers of them block pipes and valves wherever they occur. This so-called biofouling comes with considerable costs to the water and power industry.

Eccles says that Thames Water, the UK’s largest water provider, already spends millions of pounds clearing underground tunnels. With the arrival of the quagga, he says, this will have to be done even more frequently in the future.

Tackling the problems caused by invasive species quickly becomes even more costly when viewed as a whole. The Environment Agency estimates the costs associated with non-native species (there are over 3,000 in the UK) to figure around £1.7 billion per year.

The roughly 12,000 species that have invaded new habitats around Europe, with their combined impact on native biodiversity, agriculture, health and the economy, create costs upwards of €12 billion (£9.4 billion) a year.

Native ecosystems at risk

On top of that, invasive species are the second biggest threat to biodiversity after habitat loss. The zebra and quagga mussels are no exception – the latter smothers and chokes other mussels to death.

And because it filters nutrients out of the water (a single quagga can go through up to two litres every day), it changes the nature of entire ecosystems, which in turn can facilitate life for predators or even kill off entire populations.

“It’s the species we thought was most threatening”, says Gallardo. “These Ponto-Caspian species, as a group, are probably the most threatening of aquatic invasive species. Ten years ago, there were only two or three of these species in Britain, and right now there are ten or 15 already. And there are another 100 species currently travelling along Europe, and they will end up here as well, sooner or later.”

Gallardo points out that one of the Ponto-Caspian species’ most dangerous characteristics is their ability to thrive in new habitats. Because they are generalist feeders, they can modify their environment to fit their needs: “They come from a region where they experience very high changes in climate and environmental conditions, and that makes them very able to adapt.”

It gets worse. Because they are used to living together, the zebra and quagga mussel even facilitate each other: the zebra lays down an ideal substrate for the quagga in riverbeds and on the bottom of reservoirs.

“They already have close interactions and that’s why they are so worrying. They easily establish together and build up communities that resemble more of their native range than the actual English range”, Gallardo says.

And this applies to the rest of the Ponto-Caspian invaders too. The killer shrimp, which was first recorded in Britain in 2010, feeds off the waste of the zebra and even imitates the mussel’s striped pattern.

This is why Gallardo and her fellow researchers speak of an “invasional meltdown” when it comes to the increasing rate of invasions. Their theory is that, as more and more species arrive and support each other, the problem will become exponentially worse.

Eradication? No chance. Maybe an ice age …

At the workshop in London, the most eagerly awaited speaker was David Aldridge, a lecturer in aquatic ecology at Cambridge and the foremost expert on quagga mussels in the UK. His bottom line is sobering. “We’re really just waiting for these pests to arrive. And you can’t do much once they’re here”, he says.

And with no chance of eradicating species once they reach the UK, it all comes down to prevention: “From a broader, national policy, we’re interested in really trying to identify what the future invaders are and perhaps use things like quagga mussels as a model for patterns and pathways for invasion so that we can try and do our best to stop things coming here.”

The Victorians first started importing ornamental plants in the 19th century – it is them we have to thank for pests like Himalayan balsam or giant hogweed, plants that usually dominate media coverage when it comes to invasive species.

The number of intentionally introduced animals and plants is declining nowadays, but with the building of new canals and waterways, aquatic species have increasingly been making their way across Europe on their own.

The aquatic invaders spread through a number of different ways: ballast water in ships, the movement of soil or water and the contamination of fishing gear, sports equipment or boats. A single pool of water in a fishing boat returning from Europe can introduce a new species.

“We already knew this species was coming and I know there’s been a lot of work to develop an early-warning system”, says Gallardo.

Despite new laws, the quagga will be soon be everywhere

She also thinks the UK is more advanced in dealing with the problem than the rest of Europe, thanks in large part to the Great Britain Non-Native Species Secretariat. The secretariat, which was formed in 2006, is an attempt to bring some coordination to a naturally messy problem.

Its current campaign is accordingly basic. ‘Check, Clean, Dry’ aims to get the word out to angling societies, boat clubs and the like, so that their members keep their equipment in check and thereby avoid spreading the mussels between different ecosystems.

What is missing so far is comprehensive legislation. “We’ve got nests in various different pieces of legislation but we don’t have one itself”, says Karen Harper, who manages the London Invasive Species Initiative and organized the event at the Zoological Society.

Last January 1st new EU legislation has come into effect, the first specifically geared towards alien species. Member states are now required to notify others if certain species are detected, which could result in bans of trade, for example.

Helen Roy, an ecological entomologist at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology in Oxfordshire, chairs a European-wide information exchange program on invasive species and thinks the legislation will consolidate existing links between countries.

“It’s very exciting to think that we will have a regulation that will apply across all member states”, she says. “I think we already have some great collaborations with our near neighbors. And that’s extremely important when thinking about prevention of the arrival of alien species.”

Harper is hopeful too. “I think it’s a step in the right direction – to everyone realizing that it is a real problem and needs to be managed.”

The Wraysbury River flows into the Thames only a few miles downriver from where Ho found the quagga in late September. Aldridge says it is only a matter of time before its spread becomes uncontrollable.

In fact, barely a month after the workshop took place, quagga mussels had already been found in the Thames and six nearby reservoirs. “I expect that in the next four years or so it will be widespread across the UK”, Aldridge says. “I mean it won’t be everywhere it can get, but I think it will be in lots of the major waterways.”

 


 

Yannic Rack is a journalist at City University London who has written for local newspapers in the UK and the US, and the editor of a hyperlocal news website in London.

 




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Don’t move a mussel – a tiny invader is threatening our water and wildlife Updated for 2026





On September 29, 2014, Samantha Ho was wading through the Wraysbury River, a shallow stream that runs just a few miles south of the busy tarmac at London’s Heathrow Airport. She was collecting a ‘kick’ sample, a routine at a designated point that is visited once or twice a year, for the Environment Agency.

But this time was different: among the mud and grass Ho found a small mussel, no bigger than a thumbnail, which looked vaguely familiar.

“I separated it out and carried on”, she says. “The fact that it was an unusual environment – fast-flowing, not a canal – and that I had sampled there before and not found it, were all things that roused my suspicion.” She brought it back to the lab and a quick check online confirmed it: she had found a quagga mussel.

Although it was a long way from home, the mussel’s arrival had been anticipated by ecologists for a while. It’s one of a number of non-native species that are increasingly making their way to Britain and posing a considerable threat to native plants and animals.

The larvae of the quagga are microscopic and a single mussel can produce millions of eggs, up to 200,000 in a single season (which lasts from April to November). Their size is one of the reasons they’re so problematic, according to Belinda Gallardo, an aquatic ecologist who studied the ecological impact of invasive species as a researcher at the University of Cambridge.

“It’s really, really difficult to contain, unless it is located in a very isolated water body that you can basically drain to eradicate everything in it”, she says. “There are techniques in place and we are testing different options, but as far as I know it can not be controlled in open water.”

A major ‘biofouling’ hazard: pipes, valves, hulls, propellers …

Originating in the Ponto-Caspian region around the Black Sea, the quagga mussel is joining its larger cousin, the zebra mussel, which has been established in Britain for roughly 200 years and is thought to cost the UK at least £5 million a year.

At a recent workshop on the quagga mussel at the Zoological Society of London, Jason Eccles, Thames Water’s Regional Production Manager for West London, briefed an assembly of scientists, activists and representatives of organisations that are interested in the quagga.

He demonstrated the impact of the mussel through images like that of a large boat propeller, completely covered by several layers of quagga mussels, which had been pulled out of Lake Mead in Nevada (see photo, above).

Whether in the US or the UK, both the zebra and quagga are troublemakers. The mussels’ ‘beard’, a small thread of hairs that looks like brown seaweed, allows them to attach to surfaces and to each other, meaning that large numbers of them block pipes and valves wherever they occur. This so-called biofouling comes with considerable costs to the water and power industry.

Eccles says that Thames Water, the UK’s largest water provider, already spends millions of pounds clearing underground tunnels. With the arrival of the quagga, he says, this will have to be done even more frequently in the future.

Tackling the problems caused by invasive species quickly becomes even more costly when viewed as a whole. The Environment Agency estimates the costs associated with non-native species (there are over 3,000 in the UK) to figure around £1.7 billion per year.

The roughly 12,000 species that have invaded new habitats around Europe, with their combined impact on native biodiversity, agriculture, health and the economy, create costs upwards of €12 billion (£9.4 billion) a year.

Native ecosystems at risk

On top of that, invasive species are the second biggest threat to biodiversity after habitat loss. The zebra and quagga mussels are no exception – the latter smothers and chokes other mussels to death.

And because it filters nutrients out of the water (a single quagga can go through up to two litres every day), it changes the nature of entire ecosystems, which in turn can facilitate life for predators or even kill off entire populations.

“It’s the species we thought was most threatening”, says Gallardo. “These Ponto-Caspian species, as a group, are probably the most threatening of aquatic invasive species. Ten years ago, there were only two or three of these species in Britain, and right now there are ten or 15 already. And there are another 100 species currently travelling along Europe, and they will end up here as well, sooner or later.”

Gallardo points out that one of the Ponto-Caspian species’ most dangerous characteristics is their ability to thrive in new habitats. Because they are generalist feeders, they can modify their environment to fit their needs: “They come from a region where they experience very high changes in climate and environmental conditions, and that makes them very able to adapt.”

It gets worse. Because they are used to living together, the zebra and quagga mussel even facilitate each other: the zebra lays down an ideal substrate for the quagga in riverbeds and on the bottom of reservoirs.

“They already have close interactions and that’s why they are so worrying. They easily establish together and build up communities that resemble more of their native range than the actual English range”, Gallardo says.

And this applies to the rest of the Ponto-Caspian invaders too. The killer shrimp, which was first recorded in Britain in 2010, feeds off the waste of the zebra and even imitates the mussel’s striped pattern.

This is why Gallardo and her fellow researchers speak of an “invasional meltdown” when it comes to the increasing rate of invasions. Their theory is that, as more and more species arrive and support each other, the problem will become exponentially worse.

Eradication? No chance. Maybe an ice age …

At the workshop in London, the most eagerly awaited speaker was David Aldridge, a lecturer in aquatic ecology at Cambridge and the foremost expert on quagga mussels in the UK. His bottom line is sobering. “We’re really just waiting for these pests to arrive. And you can’t do much once they’re here”, he says.

And with no chance of eradicating species once they reach the UK, it all comes down to prevention: “From a broader, national policy, we’re interested in really trying to identify what the future invaders are and perhaps use things like quagga mussels as a model for patterns and pathways for invasion so that we can try and do our best to stop things coming here.”

The Victorians first started importing ornamental plants in the 19th century – it is them we have to thank for pests like Himalayan balsam or giant hogweed, plants that usually dominate media coverage when it comes to invasive species.

The number of intentionally introduced animals and plants is declining nowadays, but with the building of new canals and waterways, aquatic species have increasingly been making their way across Europe on their own.

The aquatic invaders spread through a number of different ways: ballast water in ships, the movement of soil or water and the contamination of fishing gear, sports equipment or boats. A single pool of water in a fishing boat returning from Europe can introduce a new species.

“We already knew this species was coming and I know there’s been a lot of work to develop an early-warning system”, says Gallardo.

Despite new laws, the quagga will be soon be everywhere

She also thinks the UK is more advanced in dealing with the problem than the rest of Europe, thanks in large part to the Great Britain Non-Native Species Secretariat. The secretariat, which was formed in 2006, is an attempt to bring some coordination to a naturally messy problem.

Its current campaign is accordingly basic. ‘Check, Clean, Dry’ aims to get the word out to angling societies, boat clubs and the like, so that their members keep their equipment in check and thereby avoid spreading the mussels between different ecosystems.

What is missing so far is comprehensive legislation. “We’ve got nests in various different pieces of legislation but we don’t have one itself”, says Karen Harper, who manages the London Invasive Species Initiative and organized the event at the Zoological Society.

Last January 1st new EU legislation has come into effect, the first specifically geared towards alien species. Member states are now required to notify others if certain species are detected, which could result in bans of trade, for example.

Helen Roy, an ecological entomologist at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology in Oxfordshire, chairs a European-wide information exchange program on invasive species and thinks the legislation will consolidate existing links between countries.

“It’s very exciting to think that we will have a regulation that will apply across all member states”, she says. “I think we already have some great collaborations with our near neighbors. And that’s extremely important when thinking about prevention of the arrival of alien species.”

Harper is hopeful too. “I think it’s a step in the right direction – to everyone realizing that it is a real problem and needs to be managed.”

The Wraysbury River flows into the Thames only a few miles downriver from where Ho found the quagga in late September. Aldridge says it is only a matter of time before its spread becomes uncontrollable.

In fact, barely a month after the workshop took place, quagga mussels had already been found in the Thames and six nearby reservoirs. “I expect that in the next four years or so it will be widespread across the UK”, Aldridge says. “I mean it won’t be everywhere it can get, but I think it will be in lots of the major waterways.”

 


 

Yannic Rack is a journalist at City University London who has written for local newspapers in the UK and the US, and the editor of a hyperlocal news website in London.

 




390396

Move over big power – the micropower revolution is here! Updated for 2026





There is no shortage of shouting and dire warnings about the state of the climate and our need to phase out fossil fuels. But there is a more silent revolution happening too – in micropower.

Small-scale electricity generation is slowly replacing big fossil-fuel driven power plants, which are currently the world’s single largest contributor to greenhouse gas emissions.

These micro-electricity producers are relatively small scale, inexpensive, and most importantly, produce little to no carbon emissions. Last year micropower contributed to around a quarter of the world’s electricity, up from 10% in 2000.

What is micropower?

Rooftop solar may be the first thing that springs to mind, but micropower is much more than just solar panels on roofs. The definition of micropower can sometimes be confusing. Amory Lovins and his coauthors discuss this in The Economist‘s 2002 book of the year Small Is Profitable and define micropower as all renewables except big hydro.

This definition of micropower thus includes wind farms, even though these can be quite large, because of the scalable (you can plant more or less wind turbines), rapidly deployable, and distributed nature of the individual units.

It does not, however, include hydropower plants larger than 50 megawatts or nuclear power plants, even though these are low- or no-carbon.

Most recently, the Rocky Mountain Institute has included industry sales data of cogeneration power plants in its analysis of micropower trends.

Cogeneration on the rise

In essence, cogeneration uses energy twice – once to produce electricity, and a second time as heat. It is often referred to as combined heat and power. By producing heat for buildings and houses, cogeneration is much more efficient than even thermal plants, which only generate electricity.

Cogeneration has risen dramatically in the past 15 years, but is often overlooked in estimates of energy production. It comes in a variety of forms and can even use waste gases from agriculture and industrial production.

An even more efficient process is sometimes called trigeneration, producing both heating and cooling. Have you ever seen those mysterious plumes of steam rising from manhole covers in New York, in films like Martin Scorcese’s Taxi Driver? Much of that steam comes from New York’s steam system, which is used to heat and cool buildings in Manhattan.

Trigeneration can convert as much as 93% of fuel into useful energy.

Although many cogeneration plants still rely on natural gas for power, they produces roughly 40% less greenhouse gas than a coal plant. While many environmentalists advocate an immediate switch to renewables, others argue that natural gas is providing a lower-carbon ‘bridge’ while the use of renewables can be scaled up.

Grids are going micro too

It’s not just power plants that are going micro. Micro-grids are being built all over the world, both to increase energy efficiency and to provide adaptable and resilient power in the case of major storms or natural disasters like Hurricane Sandy. This is particularly important as extreme weather events are likely to increase due to global warming.

These micro-grids, which typically incorporate renewables and cogeneration, are designed to be able to operate independently of the main power grid. If disaster strikes, they can produce islands of power to critical facilities such as police, fire services and hospitals.

While more than 260 such projects are planned or operating in the United States, Connecticut has become the first state to role out a statewide pilot. Micro-grids aren’t just helpful during natural disasters – they avoid long-distance transmission, so can reduce line energy losses which can reach as high as 20%.

Cities, and the way they are powered, will undoubtedly play a huge role in the transition to a sustainable and resilient energy future. New York has reduced its greenhouse gas emissions by 19% since 2005. This is partly from an increased use of cogeneration and natural gas, and upgraded city operations using cleaner vehicles.

In fact, while ‘going green’ often conjures up images of Arcadian off-grid living, New Yorkers have the smallest carbon footprint in America. They generate less than 30% of the average national emissions. Compact cities are more energy efficient for a host of reasons, and as many have pointed out, the way to a green future isn’t urban sprawl.

The central power plants that dominated the 20th century energy landscape are seeing their market share in energy generation fall rapidly. New power plants are becoming smaller, scale-able and more efficient, as renewables and cogeneration continue to increase their production share.

The past and future of micropower

In many ways the rapid growth of micropower is a back to the future scenario.

In 1882, Thomas Edison’s famous Pearl Street plant began generating heat and electricity for lower Manhattan. Natural Geographic has a wonderful explorable infographic about the way “power pulses, information flies, and steam flows” below the streets of New York.

Thomas Edison envisioned similar systems to provide local power and heat into the future. Power grids and centralised power plants changed all that, and the 20th century seemed to prove Edison wrong.

But clearly things have changed since then, as micro-power’s market share pushes upwards. Technological innovation, changes in energy production and extraction, and public concern over climate change and natural disasters have helped power the revolution.

We certainly aren’t in the clear yet, and the world desperately needs a global climate agreement. The future may still be cloudy, despite the groundbreaking deal between the US and China.

But the micropower revolution bodes well for a resilient, secure, and low-carbon energy future. Perhaps every cloud does have a silver lining.

 


 

Morgan Saletta is a Doctoral Candidate in History and Philosophy of Science at the University of Melbourne. A trained anthropologist and historian of science, his research interests include the Neolithic transition in Europe, transnational environmental history (particularly in the Pacific and Indian Ocean worlds), as well as the many interactions between science, technology and society. He does not work for, consult to, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has no relevant affiliations.

This article was originally published on The Conversation. Read the original article.

The Conversation

 




383794

Make no mistake – the TTIP is a move in the wrong direction Updated for 2026





Last week witnessed the seventh round of talks between EU and US negotiators seeking to hammer out a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP).

These have been mired in controversy over the supposed impact that the agreement will have on the ability of countries to regulate in the public interest.

These fears have been labelled as unfounded by advocates of the deal, who emphasise that the TTIP will sufficiently protect countries’ ‘right to regulate’ and not lead to a downgrading of standards.

Who is right? It is impossible to arrive at a definitive answer, both because the negotiations are ongoing and because we only have access to some of the relevant negotiating texts (the process has largely been conducted behind closed doors).

All the same, it is possible to offer some preliminary thoughts. The two most controversial areas in the UK are investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) and public services (especially healthcare), so I’ll concentrate on them.

Dispute settlement

The ISDS provisions would potentially allow foreign investors to challenge perceived violations of their investor rights in an independent arbitration tribunal, bypassing domestic courts.

One prominent example of this under similar existing provisions within Europe includes the action taken in 2012 by Swedish energy company Vattenfall against the German government over the latter’s phasing out of nuclear energy.

The prospect of a new transatlantic version of this power has been heavily criticised in the UK press as a full-frontal assault on democracy” and “hand[ing] British sovereignty to multinationals.”

The idea that ISDS provisions will allow for the ‘striking down’ of laws, as has been reported by some, is not technically correct. Tribunals are only able to award compensation.

Yet they can in some cases lead to a situation of ‘regulatory chill‘ – where governments fail to legislate for fear of being challenged, with potentially negative effects for social and environmental protections.

Governments’ ‘right to regulate’ is inadequately protected

It should be said that the ISDS provisions (based on my reading of the European Commission’s consultation on the subject) do represent an improvement on those in previous bilateral investment treaties, which have been largely signed between developed and developing countries.

Most notably, they provide more wiggle-room to governments to avoid litigation in cases where they clearly regulate in the public interest; and also improve the transparency of arbitration hearings.

That being said, the proposals are still problematic. As noted by a number of prominent scholars in the field, they still leave arbitration tribunals with substantial freedom to interpret investment-protection provisions in the TTIP and do not firmly enshrine the ‘right to regulate’ within the text of the agreement (only mentioning it in the preamble).

They do not sufficiently address the broader conflicts of interest that exist within investment arbitration, which depends on repeat custom from investors. Most importantly, they enshrine the broader principle of the pre-eminence of foreign investors over domestic regulatory autonomy.

‘Few or no benefits’ plus ‘meaningful political costs’

One argument that is sometimes heard from advocates of including ISDS in the agreement is that it represents an opportunity to reform the flawed dispute settlement processes laid out in previous treaties.

But even if the TTIP proposals represent an improvement, they will make possible ‘forum-shopping’ where foreign investors choose the investment regime with the most advantageous ISDS provisions. One estimate suggested that it would lead to an increase of US foreign direct investment covered by such provisions from 15-20% to 65-80%.

All in all, this suggests that the system is still flawed. A 2013 study conducted by researchers at the London School of Economics – and commissioned by the UK Department of Business, Innovation and Skills – found that “an EU-US investment chapter [in the TTIP] is likely to provide the UK with few or no benefits.”

It found little evidence to suggest there would be economic benefits from increased investment, suggesting there was “some reason to expect an EU-US investment chapter to impose meaningful political costs on the UK.”

Healthcare and other public services

The second issue of great concern in the UK has been the issue of public services. The fear expressed by campaigners is that the TTIP would threaten the public delivery of such services as healthcare by including explicit commitments to liberalise them – and that these should therefore be excluded entirely from the negotiations (as has been done for audio-visual services).

The assurances from the government (most notably the trade and investment minister Lord Livingston) have been that the TTIP would not affect the NHS.

A letter from the European Commission to a UK MP has also confirmed that the EU is not forcing states to make liberalisation commitments on publicly funded services and that specific safeguards would protect services supplied “in the exercise of governmental authority”.

The available evidence on this issue – a leaked draft services market-access offer made by the EU in June 2014 – suggests that these assurances are not telling the full story.

The UK government has also made a number of commitments in the TTIP negotiations not to retreat on liberalisation on mainly privately funded but also some publicly funded health services. This is problematic for two reasons.

First of all, the distinction between publicly and privately funded services is not always clear. Commitments on privately funded services may therefore also affect publicly funded services.

Secondly, this approach relies on the government explicitly excluding certain policy measures from the scope of its liberalisation commitments – with any failure to do so implying that sectors must be open to foreign competition.

Public services ‘not unambiguously protected’

On both of these points, the UK has not unambiguously protected public services in the draft market-access schedule to the agreement.

Meanwhile the specific safeguards alluded to by the Commission in its letter are often seen as having a rather limited scope – covering principally the ‘core sovereign functions’ of states, such as defence, policing or the judiciary.

It should be stressed that the practical consequences of this are not new privatisations of public services, but rather the ‘locking-in’ of the existing marketisation of public services – such as that undertaken under the 2012 Health and Social Care Act, which greatly increased the opportunities for private companies to compete in healthcare tenders.

So while it would be wrong to say that the TTIP will lead to the wholesale privatisation of public services, it would potentially constrain governments’ ability to reverse past policy decisions to open up public services to competition as this would become a treaty-based commitment.

In sum, the likely impact of the TTIP has been exaggerated to some extent. But my tentative view is that there are some grounds for concern. Ultimately a lot depends on the politics that have engulfed the negotiations and which may limit the extent to which certain proposals are carried out.

But the intended direction of travel (so far) is certainly to further entrench competitive disciplines and constrain the regulatory autonomy of states.

 


 

Gabriel Siles-Brügge is Lecturer in Politics at the University of Manchester. He has consulted for the World Development Movement and has also advised other NGOs campaigning against TTIP. This entry draws on research commissioned and funded by the Elcano Royal Institute.

This article was originally published on The Conversation. Read the original article.

The Conversation

 




384949

A Yes vote in Scotland could finish Trident Updated for 2026





Much has been made, and quite rightly, about the financial uncertainties for the Scots attached to an independence vote.

But if there is a Yes vote the financial pressures on the UK’s nuclear weapons programme will also bite hard, plunging its future into uncertainty.

Experience so far in the referendum campaign amply demonstrates the inability of the collective Westminster-Whitehall (WW) bubble to accurately assess risk, probability and impact.

As I outlined in a previous post for Open Democracy, Trident will become the subject of negotiation along with other core issues such as currency, the handling of debt and membership of the EU and NATO.

But the bases at Faslane and Coulport will need to move, and within a similar timescale to the introduction of the new submarines.

Even assuming that the political obstacles can be overcome, capital spend on the move will hit at the same point in the cycle as the construction of the submarines, sending costs spiraling.

Trident’s medium term home? Georgia, USA

With any move south of the border the renewal programme would take up well over half the current MoD’s equipment spend throughout the 2020s (it is already set to eat up a third of that budget over this period).

But this is only one half of the double-whammy. The other is that this would happen just when public spending would need to reduce by around 8% as a result of the tax-take from Scotland being removed.

For most government departments, whose spend is relative to the population they serve, this would not be such a big deal beyond the bureaucratic challenge of institutional change.

But the Ministry of Defence will retain just about the same commitments as they have today, and cuts they would have to bear would follow on from major cuts experienced over the last five years.

There is a cost to the rest of the defence establishment beyond which even die-hard pro-nuclear advocates would not tread. Without Faslane, the UK’s only alternative would be to base its Trident submarines at the US’s Kings Bay Trident port on Georgia’s Atlantic coast.

The military community discussing this possibility at present refer to it as a temporary measure, but the political and budgetary costs may force them to consider it a permanent proposition.

But what sort of symbol would that send about Britain’s dependency upon the United States and its capability? It would make a mockery of the claim that they system is operationally independent.

For any member of the public or rational defence planner in London, Scottish independence would surely mean a radical reassessment of Trident.

A new impetus towards global nuclear disarmament?

Any such reassessment, if it leads to disarmament, could be a big shot in the arm for the essential but deeply-troubled global non-proliferation regime upon which we all depend for stability and survival. So far 2014 has been a disastrous year.

Things looked promising in the heady days of 2010, when the US and Russia signed their new START treaty further limiting the numbers of warheads, missiles and bombers, and the NPT Review Conference agreed a comprehensive action plan to pursue disarmament and non-proliferation.

But the rot had already set into any optimism for further progress years before President Viktor Yanukovych was chased out of Kiev at the beginning of this year.

With Russia’s annexation of Crimea, the civil war in eastern Ukraine (now becalmed if not quite over under a peace process), and other major disagreements over missile defence, NATO membership and influence across eastern Europe and the Middle East, the nuclear weapon states are showing no prospects of living up to the cautious agenda they signed up to in 2010.

This leaves next year’s NPT Review Conference and the broader non-proliferation regime in limbo.

Iran hanging in the balance

It also adds a wild card to negotiations with Iran that reopen this Thursday, the same day as the referendum vote.

Just as the Americans and Europeans were hopeful of breakthrough on Iran’s nuclear programme before the deadline in November (though there are still big differences between the negotiating positions), the fragile sanctions coalition could be breaking apart before our eyes.

The Russians are already talking about major deals with Iran that the Americans consider bust the sanctions. If they sense alternatives opening up, it seems highly unlikely that hardliners in Tehran will countenance Rouhani agreeing to tight constraints on the programme. This one silver lining in the dark and foreboding international nuclear proliferation skies hangs in the balance.

If an independent Scotland were to force a rethink on Trident renewal it would be crucial for both governments to see how their choices could best influence this broader context.

If there is a possibility of an established nuclear weapon state taking its arsenal off patrol this must be used to maximum leverage within the broader international diplomatic game to win real moves in a positive direction by other states. This will be an important opportunity for leadership.

In the event of a No

But what of the impact of the only other likely alternative, a close no vote? In this circumstance we are likely to see devolution of many more powers not only in Scotland, but also other parts of the union.

The general assumption within the WW bubble will be that this will not directly affect the trappings of statehood, in particular foreign policy and defence and thereby the nuclear deterrent. There are a number of distinct dangers to this attitude that could reflect more complacency piled on the previous.

When it reported back in July, the Trident Commission, co-chaired by Malcolm Rifkind, Des Browne and Menzies Campbell, pointed to the pressing need for Britain to reconsider its strategy and more effectively lead on achieving multilateral disarmament measures.

There is no room for business as usual whilst strategic international relations deteriorate and the non-proliferation regime faces severe challenges of confidence.

And there is no solution to the contradiction between renewing Trident like-for-like and positively contributing to a stronger non-proliferation regime.

Caution advised – is this a smart way to spend £30 billion?

But back at home our political leaders would be well-advised to be cautious in making their assumptions about London retaining unambiguous control over the existing nuclear weapon infrastructure.

After the referendum it is now clear the nature of the constitutional settlement will change, and could remain fluid and uncertain for some time to come. Demands for change can only grow throughout the union. London may in future struggle to hold the line and prevent further slide towards a break-up of the union as devolution develops.

A close no vote could in the long run simply spell a stay of execution, unless the government more effectively tackles the centrifugal forces driving the home nations apart.

This will need them to go beyond the devolution of certain powers, and radically change the relationship between the WW bubble and the people of Britain.

And Trident has already shown itself to be a significant part of that legitimacy deficit. It is not only the Scots who are sceptical about spending £30bn over the next two decades on the renewal of our nuclear weapons.

If they succeed in convincing the Scots to stay in for now, those interested in saving the union in the longer run may yet come to see Trident and its bases in Scotland as an important political liability that we can ill afford to keep.

 


 

Paul Ingram has been the Executive Director for the British American Security Information Council (BASIC) since 2007. BASIC works in the US, UK, Europe and the Middle East to promote global nuclear disarmament and a transformation in strategic relationships using a dialogue approach.

He was also until recently a talk show host on state Iranian TV promoting alternative perspectives on strategic matters, and taught British senior civil servants leadership skills.

Previously Paul was a Green Party councillor in Oxford and co-Leader of Oxford City Council (2000-2002) and a member of the Stop the War Coalition Steering Group (2002-2006).

This article is based on one originally published by Open Democracy with edits by or agreed with the author. It is published under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 licence.

Creative Commons License

 

 




384167

Keystone XL – who needs it? We got a railroad! Updated for 2026





“Rail can get you just about anywhere. It’s like the Harry Potter stairway. You get on the stairs at one end and they move to wherever you need to go.

“That’s the beauty of the railway. You get on at one end here, with your bitumen or dilbit, and then you can end up in different places depending on what are the best markets.”

That quote is from Pete Sametz, president of Connacher Oil and Gas, speaking to the Daily Oil Bulletin about the appeal of moving tar sands oil by rail. And Sametz isn’t alone in his enthusiasm for rail transportation options for bitumen. 

At the Canadian Institute’s North American Pipeline Symposium in June, Randy Meyer of Canadian National railway, told the conference how this situation appeared to him.

“It’s kind of amusing when I read in the paper that there’s this angst and gnashing of teeth about Keystone and I’m going, ‘My goodness, we’re already there.’ We can go there and we are. We are shipping product there.”

Rail vs pipeline – a 16% price advantage

Aside from the magical Harry Potter flexibility of rail compared to pipelines, rail also offers the option of moving bitumen without having to dilute it, as is required for pipelines, which makes it cheaper as explained by Randy Meyer.

“We did a study where we took the American Association of Railway’s published rates, which averaged out all the traffic that moves and all its products. That average … is about 16 per cent less than pipeline costs.”

The reality is that tar sands bitumen transport is so well-suited for rail over pipelines that it is now cheaper to move tar sands bitumen by rail than it is by pipeline.

If you’re a tar sands industry executive, this is your light-bulb moment: Who needs the Keystone XL headache when you can bypass the controversy entirely using existing rail lines?

Heating bitumen for railcars costs less than diluting it for pipelines

This reality and the recent revelations that the impact of the tar sands oil will be much greater than initially predicted, present a grim picture for the environment, although apparently an amusing and exciting one for oil and rail executives. Companies like Grizzly Oil Sands outline their plans on their website.

“Grizzly is excited at the range of benefits to be generated from its oil-by-rail bitumen marketing strategy. The Company believes its approach can achieve economics superior to using the Keystone XL pipeline, if built.”

On their site Grizzly mentions purchasing new rail cars to move bitumen as well as completing a rail-to-barge facility on the Mississippi in Louisiana.

And despite predictions in the new proposed oil-by-rail regulations that the DOT-111 cars that will eventually not be allowed to carry the much more volatile Bakken crude oil would instead be repurposed to carry tar sands oil, this is unlikely. The most profitable way to move bitumen by rail is in thermally-jacketed cars that allow for the oil to be heated.

The current DOT-111 cars don’t have this capacity and retrofitting them would be too costly. Heating the bitumen versus diluting it is where the industry sees the cost advantages. 

Tar sands oil ‘exempt’ from new testing requirements

And while the new proposed regulations for moving volatile crude oil and ethanol mention that tar sands oil may be transported in DOT-111s in the future, the proposed changes do not apply to tar sands oil in any way.

When the DOT first announced new testing requirements for crude oil being shipped by rail in February of this year, there was immediate push back from the industry because of the impact it may have on moving tar sands by rail.

The government quickly clarified that tar sands oil would be exempt from the requirements, a move that at the time was described by the president of the American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers as a “judicious response”.

The cost advantages and flexibility of moving heated bitumen by rail and are spurring significant new investment in the oil-by-rail industry.

As reported by Oil Change International in their report Runaway Train, the planned expansion is massive and would increase the currently oil-by-rail capacity of one million barrels of oil per day to five times that amount. While much of this is also for lighter crudes like Bakken, it also is being driven by the desire to move tar sands oil by rail.

Trains give access to export oil terminals

As previously noted on DeSmogBlog, the additional reason that rail is appealing to tar sands producers is that they ultimately want to sell their product overseas. And while there is an export ban on oil produced in the US, this does not apply to the tar sands oil from Canada.

And the trains currently give access to the East, West and Gulf coasts where the oil can be loaded onto ocean going vessels and sent to the highest bidder on the world market.

Global Partners is currently one of the top capacity oil-by-rail companies with a terminal on the East coast in Albany, NY, on the West coast in Oregon and with plans to build a new facility in Texas and another in New Windsor, NY. And despite their current business of moving Bakken crude, they are actively promoting tar sands by rail to the industry.

Global Partners CEO Eric Slifka recently made the sales pitch for tars sands by rail at an industry conference saying, “we can take pure heavy crude oil, put it in a heated rail car … and move it directly.”

Global’s recent expansion plans in Texas resulted in the following headline in the Houston Business Journal: “Keystone? Who needs it? Railroad plans fuel terminal for Port Arthur”.

If the current economics of moving tar sands oil by rail can be proven to be scalable, and it would appear they can, rail appears to be faster, cheaper and more flexible as an option to get Canadian tar sands oil onto the international market.

Which means the producers can get higher prices, which in turn makes the expanded extraction and consumption of the tar sands that much more likely.

 


 

Justin Mikulka is a freelance writer, audio and video producer living in Albany, NY. Justin lends his Internet expertise to the group Gas Free Seneca which is working to prevent large LPG storage facilities in the Finger Lakes region of NY. He has a degree in Civil and Environmental Engineering from Cornell University.

Twitter: https://twitter.com/JustinMikulka

This article was originally published on DeSmogBlog.

 

 




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